Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers by the numbers
- MEDIAN WAGE
- $58,640 /year
- JOB GROWTH 2024–34
- +4.0% (US avg +3.1%)
- US EMPLOYMENT
- 2.1 million jobs
- AI HORIZON (THEORETICAL)
- 14 /100
Across all measured AI usage (dataset-wide, not specific to this occupation), about 43% is automation — AI doing a task — while 57% is augmentation, AI assisting a person.
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025 · BLS Employment Projections 2024–34 · Anthropic Economic Index (CC-BY) · Felten et al. AIOE · Methodology
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Frequently asked questions
Will AI replace Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers?
No data source can answer that with certainty — what we can measure is overlap. Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers score 1/100 on observed AI exposure (how much of the job's tasks appear in real AI usage today) and 14/100 on theoretical exposure as tools improve. High exposure historically means tasks get reshaped and redistributed rather than jobs simply disappearing.
How much do Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers earn in the US?
The national median wage for Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers is $58,640 per year (BLS OEWS, May 2025).
Is the job market for Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers growing or shrinking?
BLS projects employment for Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers to change by +4.0% between 2024 and 2034 (national average: +3.1%). About 2.1 million people held this job in 2024.
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