FutureProof

Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Transportation and Material Moving Workers, Except Aircraft Cargo Handling Supervisors?

AI barely shows up in the day-to-day tasks of First-Line Supervisors of Transportation and Material Moving Workers, Except Aircraft Cargo Handling Supervisors today — this occupation sits at the floor of observed AI usage. That reflects measured overlap, not a guarantee of safety: on theoretical exposure it ranks 27/100 as tools improve. Employment is projected to hold roughly steady through 2034.

1/ 100Low exposure

Minimal observed AI overlap today

AI barely shows up in this job's tasks today (observed) — but it ranks higher on theoretical exposure (27/100) as tools improve.

First-Line Supervisors of Transportation and Material Moving Workers, Except Aircraft Cargo Handling Supervisors by the numbers

MEDIAN WAGE
$62,890 /year
JOB GROWTH 2024–34
+3.7% (US avg +3.1%)
US EMPLOYMENT
623,640 jobs
AI HORIZON (THEORETICAL)
27 /100

Across all measured AI usage (dataset-wide, not specific to this occupation), about 43% is automation — AI doing a task — while 57% is augmentation, AI assisting a person.

Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025 · BLS Employment Projections 2024–34 · Anthropic Economic Index (CC-BY) · Felten et al. AIOE · Methodology
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Frequently asked questions

Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Transportation and Material Moving Workers, Except Aircraft Cargo Handling Supervisors?

No data source can answer that with certainty — what we can measure is overlap. First-Line Supervisors of Transportation and Material Moving Workers, Except Aircraft Cargo Handling Supervisors score 1/100 on observed AI exposure (how much of the job's tasks appear in real AI usage today) and 27/100 on theoretical exposure as tools improve. High exposure historically means tasks get reshaped and redistributed rather than jobs simply disappearing.

How much do First-Line Supervisors of Transportation and Material Moving Workers, Except Aircraft Cargo Handling Supervisors earn in the US?

The national median wage for First-Line Supervisors of Transportation and Material Moving Workers, Except Aircraft Cargo Handling Supervisors is $62,890 per year (BLS OEWS, May 2025).

Is the job market for First-Line Supervisors of Transportation and Material Moving Workers, Except Aircraft Cargo Handling Supervisors growing or shrinking?

BLS projects employment for First-Line Supervisors of Transportation and Material Moving Workers, Except Aircraft Cargo Handling Supervisors to change by +3.7% between 2024 and 2034 (national average: +3.1%). About 623,640 people held this job in 2024.

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