Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity by the numbers
- MEDIAN WAGE
- $59,050 /year
- JOB GROWTH 2024–34
- +4.3% (US avg +3.1%)
- US EMPLOYMENT
- 159,240 jobs
- AI HORIZON (THEORETICAL)
- 27 /100
Across all measured AI usage (dataset-wide, not specific to this occupation), about 43% is automation — AI doing a task — while 57% is augmentation, AI assisting a person.
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025 · BLS Employment Projections 2024–34 · Anthropic Economic Index (CC-BY) · Felten et al. AIOE · Methodology
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Frequently asked questions
Will AI replace Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity?
No data source can answer that with certainty — what we can measure is overlap. Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity score 1/100 on observed AI exposure (how much of the job's tasks appear in real AI usage today) and 27/100 on theoretical exposure as tools improve. High exposure historically means tasks get reshaped and redistributed rather than jobs simply disappearing.
How much do Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity earn in the US?
The national median wage for Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity is $59,050 per year (BLS OEWS, May 2025).
Is the job market for Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity growing or shrinking?
BLS projects employment for Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity to change by +4.3% between 2024 and 2034 (national average: +3.1%). About 159,240 people held this job in 2024.
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