FutureProof

Will AI replace Tax Preparers?

Tax Preparers rank 54/100 on observed AI exposure — a meaningful share of tasks overlaps with real AI usage, while much of the work remains outside what AI is used for today. Employment is projected to grow faster than the average occupation through 2034.

54/ 100Medium exposure

Mixed exposure — worth steering toward safer ground

54/100 reflects how much AI is used in this job today. Its theoretical exposure as tools improve ranks 88/100.

Tax Preparers by the numbers

MEDIAN WAGE
$54,920 /year
JOB GROWTH 2024–34
+4.5% (US avg +3.1%)
US EMPLOYMENT
76,480 jobs
AI HORIZON (THEORETICAL)
88 /100

Across all measured AI usage (dataset-wide, not specific to this occupation), about 43% is automation — AI doing a task — while 57% is augmentation, AI assisting a person.

Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025 · BLS Employment Projections 2024–34 · Anthropic Economic Index (CC-BY) · Felten et al. AIOE · Methodology
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Frequently asked questions

Will AI replace Tax Preparers?

No data source can answer that with certainty — what we can measure is overlap. Tax Preparers score 54/100 on observed AI exposure (how much of the job's tasks appear in real AI usage today) and 88/100 on theoretical exposure as tools improve. High exposure historically means tasks get reshaped and redistributed rather than jobs simply disappearing.

How much do Tax Preparers earn in the US?

The national median wage for Tax Preparers is $54,920 per year (BLS OEWS, May 2025).

Is the job market for Tax Preparers growing or shrinking?

BLS projects employment for Tax Preparers to change by +4.5% between 2024 and 2034 (national average: +3.1%). About 76,480 people held this job in 2024.

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