FutureProof

Will AI replace Paperhangers?

AI barely shows up in the day-to-day tasks of Paperhangers today — this occupation sits at the floor of observed AI usage. That reflects measured overlap, not a guarantee of safety: on theoretical exposure it ranks 4/100 as tools improve. Employment is projected to grow faster than the average occupation through 2034.

1/ 100Low exposure

Minimal observed AI overlap today

AI barely shows up in this job's tasks today (observed) — but it ranks higher on theoretical exposure (4/100) as tools improve.

Paperhangers by the numbers

MEDIAN WAGE
$52,140 /year
JOB GROWTH 2024–34
+5.3% (US avg +3.1%)
US EMPLOYMENT
1,570 jobs
AI HORIZON (THEORETICAL)
4 /100

Across all measured AI usage (dataset-wide, not specific to this occupation), about 43% is automation — AI doing a task — while 57% is augmentation, AI assisting a person.

Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025 · BLS Employment Projections 2024–34 · Anthropic Economic Index (CC-BY) · Felten et al. AIOE · Methodology
Not affiliated with, sponsored by, or endorsed by Anthropic.

Your job title is only half the story

The same title can mean very different work. Take the free 3-minute test to see how your mix of tasks and strengths holds up in the AI era.

Test my own career — free

Track this occupation

New AI-exposure data lands a few times a year. Get one short email when the numbers for Paperhangers move — no spam, unsubscribe anytime.

Frequently asked questions

Will AI replace Paperhangers?

No data source can answer that with certainty — what we can measure is overlap. Paperhangers score 1/100 on observed AI exposure (how much of the job's tasks appear in real AI usage today) and 4/100 on theoretical exposure as tools improve. High exposure historically means tasks get reshaped and redistributed rather than jobs simply disappearing.

How much do Paperhangers earn in the US?

The national median wage for Paperhangers is $52,140 per year (BLS OEWS, May 2025).

Is the job market for Paperhangers growing or shrinking?

BLS projects employment for Paperhangers to change by +5.3% between 2024 and 2034 (national average: +3.1%). About 1,570 people held this job in 2024.

All Construction & Extraction occupations →