FutureProof

Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers?

First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers rank 72/100 on observed AI exposure — more of this job's tasks show up in real AI usage than in 87% of US occupations. High exposure means AI already overlaps with much of the work, not that the job disappears. Employment is projected to hold roughly steady through 2034, so the near-term question is how the tasks change, not whether the jobs vanish.

72/ 100High exposure

High exposure — time to adapt, and here is how

72/100 reflects how much AI is used in this job today. Its theoretical exposure as tools improve ranks 90/100.

First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers by the numbers

MEDIAN WAGE
$87,520 /year
JOB GROWTH 2024–34
0.0% (US avg +3.1%)
US EMPLOYMENT
214,390 jobs
AI HORIZON (THEORETICAL)
90 /100

Across all measured AI usage (dataset-wide, not specific to this occupation), about 43% is automation — AI doing a task — while 57% is augmentation, AI assisting a person.

Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025 · BLS Employment Projections 2024–34 · Anthropic Economic Index (CC-BY) · Felten et al. AIOE · Methodology
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Frequently asked questions

Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers?

No data source can answer that with certainty — what we can measure is overlap. First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers score 72/100 on observed AI exposure (how much of the job's tasks appear in real AI usage today) and 90/100 on theoretical exposure as tools improve. High exposure historically means tasks get reshaped and redistributed rather than jobs simply disappearing.

How much do First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers earn in the US?

The national median wage for First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers is $87,520 per year (BLS OEWS, May 2025).

Is the job market for First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers growing or shrinking?

BLS projects employment for First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers to change by 0.0% between 2024 and 2034 (national average: +3.1%). About 214,390 people held this job in 2024.

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