FutureProof

Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers?

First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers rank 50/100 on observed AI exposure — a meaningful share of tasks overlaps with real AI usage, while much of the work remains outside what AI is used for today. Employment is projected to hold roughly steady through 2034.

50/ 100Medium exposure

Mixed exposure — worth steering toward safer ground

50/100 reflects how much AI is used in this job today. Its theoretical exposure as tools improve ranks 36/100.

First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers by the numbers

MEDIAN WAGE
$58,430 /year
JOB GROWTH 2024–34
+2.3% (US avg +3.1%)
US EMPLOYMENT
130,760 jobs
AI HORIZON (THEORETICAL)
36 /100

Across all measured AI usage (dataset-wide, not specific to this occupation), about 43% is automation — AI doing a task — while 57% is augmentation, AI assisting a person.

Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025 · BLS Employment Projections 2024–34 · Anthropic Economic Index (CC-BY) · Felten et al. AIOE · Methodology
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Frequently asked questions

Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers?

No data source can answer that with certainty — what we can measure is overlap. First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers score 50/100 on observed AI exposure (how much of the job's tasks appear in real AI usage today) and 36/100 on theoretical exposure as tools improve. High exposure historically means tasks get reshaped and redistributed rather than jobs simply disappearing.

How much do First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers earn in the US?

The national median wage for First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers is $58,430 per year (BLS OEWS, May 2025).

Is the job market for First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers growing or shrinking?

BLS projects employment for First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers to change by +2.3% between 2024 and 2034 (national average: +3.1%). About 130,760 people held this job in 2024.

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