FutureProof

Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Correctional Officers?

First-Line Supervisors of Correctional Officers rank 15/100 on observed AI exposure — lower than most US occupations. The tasks that define this work show up relatively rarely in real AI usage today. Employment is projected to decline through 2034.

15/ 100Low exposure

AI-resilient — your strengths are hard to automate

15/100 reflects how much AI is used in this job today. Its theoretical exposure as tools improve ranks 36/100.

First-Line Supervisors of Correctional Officers by the numbers

MEDIAN WAGE
$77,970 /year
JOB GROWTH 2024–34
-2.8% (US avg +3.1%)
US EMPLOYMENT
53,380 jobs
AI HORIZON (THEORETICAL)
36 /100

Across all measured AI usage (dataset-wide, not specific to this occupation), about 43% is automation — AI doing a task — while 57% is augmentation, AI assisting a person.

Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025 · BLS Employment Projections 2024–34 · Anthropic Economic Index (CC-BY) · Felten et al. AIOE · Methodology
Not affiliated with, sponsored by, or endorsed by Anthropic.

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Frequently asked questions

Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Correctional Officers?

No data source can answer that with certainty — what we can measure is overlap. First-Line Supervisors of Correctional Officers score 15/100 on observed AI exposure (how much of the job's tasks appear in real AI usage today) and 36/100 on theoretical exposure as tools improve. High exposure historically means tasks get reshaped and redistributed rather than jobs simply disappearing.

How much do First-Line Supervisors of Correctional Officers earn in the US?

The national median wage for First-Line Supervisors of Correctional Officers is $77,970 per year (BLS OEWS, May 2025).

Is the job market for First-Line Supervisors of Correctional Officers growing or shrinking?

BLS projects employment for First-Line Supervisors of Correctional Officers to change by -2.8% between 2024 and 2034 (national average: +3.1%). About 53,380 people held this job in 2024.

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