FutureProof

Will AI replace Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers?

AI barely shows up in the day-to-day tasks of Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers today — this occupation sits at the floor of observed AI usage. That reflects measured overlap, not a guarantee of safety: on theoretical exposure it ranks 47/100 as tools improve. Employment is projected to hold roughly steady through 2034.

1/ 100Low exposure

Minimal observed AI overlap today

AI barely shows up in this job's tasks today (observed) — but it ranks higher on theoretical exposure (47/100) as tools improve.

Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers by the numbers

MEDIAN WAGE
$89,900 /year
JOB GROWTH 2024–34
-1.3% (US avg +3.1%)
US EMPLOYMENT
6,500 jobs
AI HORIZON (THEORETICAL)
47 /100

Across all measured AI usage (dataset-wide, not specific to this occupation), about 43% is automation — AI doing a task — while 57% is augmentation, AI assisting a person.

Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025 · BLS Employment Projections 2024–34 · Anthropic Economic Index (CC-BY) · Felten et al. AIOE · Methodology
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Frequently asked questions

Will AI replace Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers?

No data source can answer that with certainty — what we can measure is overlap. Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers score 1/100 on observed AI exposure (how much of the job's tasks appear in real AI usage today) and 47/100 on theoretical exposure as tools improve. High exposure historically means tasks get reshaped and redistributed rather than jobs simply disappearing.

How much do Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers earn in the US?

The national median wage for Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers is $89,900 per year (BLS OEWS, May 2025).

Is the job market for Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers growing or shrinking?

BLS projects employment for Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers to change by -1.3% between 2024 and 2034 (national average: +3.1%). About 6,500 people held this job in 2024.

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